Forecasts (analytical materials) are published in the form of charts (charts and directional arrows), as well as explanations with possible (ideal) market entry and exit points.
Forecasts are divided into two types, depending on the timeframe:
weekly M240 forecasts are the primary benchmark for traders during the trading week;
daily M30 forecasts represent the possible ideal price movement during the trading day.
Forecasts are published for 9 trading instruments: EURUSD, GBPUSD, GOLD, WTI, AUDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY & S & P500.
CoT weekly reports.
The general direction of the market shows a dynamic change in market sentiment (sentiment).
The amplitude of the trend movement is shown by the change in market volume (volume):
- increase in capitalization — a significant impulse along the trend;
- decrease in capitalization — a weak impulse towards the trend.
The likelihood of "flattening" within the price channel on the daily timeframe is suggested by the dynamic change of locked positions (lock inv):
- growth of locked positions — we expect trading in the price channel;
- decrease in locked positions — we expect a unidirectional movement during the trading week.
Mid-term positions are opened only in the direction of market sentiment.
Positions within the day sometimes can be opened in the direction opposite to the market sentiment.
If we fix above the weekly balance, we move exclusively to the resistance level of the market maker. If we fix below the weekly balance, we move towards the market maker support level.
Two patterns are used when "un-trading" option levels:
- hang up + test;
- breakdown + retest.
In the direction of market sentiment, positions can be opened from any important levels indicated in the overview.
When trading against market sentiment, positions can only be opened from the balance and loss levels of the market maker. Hedger zones with the setting of intraday profit fixing targets and the forced closing of the deal before the closing of the trading day.
When trading in the direction of market sentiment, positions can be held further than the target profit-taking levels indicated in the weekly forecast, if the price has broken through and consolidated behind the profit-taking level.
Important!
- the close location of several option levels increases the likelihood of their working out;
- a likely change in the long-term trend occurs after the expiration of monthly option contracts;
- if the price movement was unidirectional during the week, then in the second half of the trading day on Wednesday (American session), a reversal or, at least, the suspension of price movement is very possible (this happens due to the reports of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission).
Extremely important!
Forecasts are neither a panacea nor trading signals. They are only an opinion of analysts who, analyzing information on CME & CFTC reports, wave counting of a trading instrument, as well as information about the state of the world economy and predict the likely price movement based on their knowledge, skills and experience! When entering and exiting the market, you should always use trading patterns (price patterns that are often repeated in the market; there is a certain pattern of price behavior in the future as a result of their formation). Each trader must have at least several variations of such patterns.
Forecasts that give a profit of 99%.
Forecasts that give a chance of entering the market at the level of 50%.
Forecasts that are most likely to give a loss.
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As you can see, dear colleagues, the forecasts that give a profit at the level of 99% exceed the forecasts that are most likely to give a loss by 3 times.